Your home of 2024 Election betting odds.

2024 Election Betting Odds

And here's the data since March:

2016 Election Reflection

Trump was a 20% chance (4-1 odds) when voting started.

After Hilary had some early momentum, Trump's chances drifted out to about 9%. Then he stormed home, winning the White House in a historic upset.

That story hasn't been forgotten by anyone. And the polls were even more in Hilary's favor than the betting odds.

However, let's not forget, Trump was never a 0% chance at any point.

20% at the start of the night. That's 2 out of 10.

Or 20 out of 100.

That's about our field goal percentage when we're shooting from NBA 3 point range. There's plenty of airballs and bricks but we'll bank a couple in too.

As we know, Trump lost the popular vote but he had some incredibly narrow Electoral College wins.

Michigan by 0.2%.

Pennsylvania by 0.7%.

Wisconsin by 0.7%.

And that's how you get the W when you're 4-1 odds.

But Americans Can’t Bet On It, Can They?

Not true.

Sportsbooks are definitely banned. But there's one place that circumvents the rules. Much like the President elect.


Check it out. You can use our outputs and predictions to beat the market. PredictIt don't charge much in terms of fees or commission. Great user experience and we love their branding.

Head over with this link and we get a small earn ($20). Think of it like us referring you to an amazing website and you buying us two beers to say thanks.

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2016-2020 Election Betting Odds

Want to see all of the probability movements since Donald Trump defeated Hilary Clinton? Check out our Election Betting Odds over the last four years. We're showing you every outcome that was 5% or better during that time frame.

If there's too many outputs then 'click-off' the other politicians that you want to hide from the graph:

How Are These US Election Odds Created?

It doesn’t rely on biased opinions or flawed polling. It exclusively relies on The Wisdom Of Crowds. Which means everyone's opinion is given weight.

It’s all aggregated on an international betting exchange called Betfair.

And there will be over US$300 million traded on the 2020 US Presidential Election.

People who bet on these markets use:

From Trump lovers, to Trump haters, to the undecided. It's all factored, filtered and given weight by real money.

You will not find a more accurate data source for 2020 US Presidential Election predictions.

Bookmark this page NOW.

There's only one place to put your money where your mouth is for the US Election.

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And Who Is Bet Refinery?

We’re a team of pro sports bettors who have been collectively making our income off gambling for 20 years.

We know how to identify the smart money and we create our own betting models. Which we’ll be sharing with you for FREE.

Whilst we won’t be creating data model predictions from the 2020 Election, we’ll have all your favorites sports. We’re winning sports bettors and our tips are free. Join our mailing list for exclusive access as soon as our NFL, NBA, tennis, golf and other models are released.

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