Your home of 2020 Election betting odds.
What an insane market. We share the details below, but essentially, we plug into the Betfair API and get their data. Over $700 million USD has been traded. And the market hasn't even settled yet with Trump yet to concede.
Are there recounts on the cards?
There's been serious money matched on Donald Trump since Biden's celebratory speech.
The market is absolutely not convinced this is over.
Check out the movement from Election Day below.
Plus look at the movement over the year.
Data From Election Day/Week
Trump vs Biden 2020
And here's the data since March:
What a crazy market hey?
There's been more twists than Fight Club and The Usual Suspects put together.
Trump, Biden, Trump.
Biden, Trump. Biden.
What was our prediction?
We went real heavy on Joe Biden. Not out of any Democratic affiliation. We choose green(backs) over blue or red.
But the sportsbooks haven't paid out yet.
The decision is still hanging in the air.
2020 Swing States
We also shared betting odds on the 12 Swing States.
We backed Trump to win his favorite golfing state.
And what about the states that dragged on and on?
2016 Election Reflection
Trump was a 20% chance (4-1 odds) when voting started.
After Hilary had some early momentum, Trump's chances drifted out to about 9%. Then he stormed home, winning the White House in a historic upset.
That story hasn't been forgotten by anyone. And the polls were even more in Hilary's favor than the betting odds.
However, let's not forget, Trump was never a 0% chance at any point.
20% at the start of the night. That's 2 out of 10.
Or 20 out of 100.
That's about our field goal percentage when we're shooting from NBA 3 point range. There's plenty of airballs and bricks but we'll bank a couple in too.
As we know, Trump lost the popular vote but he had some incredibly narrow Electoral College wins.
And that's how you get the W when you're 4-1 odds.
But Americans Can’t Bet On It, Can They?
Sportsbooks are definitely banned. But there's one place that circumvents the rules. Much like the President elect.
Check it out. You can use our outputs and predictions to beat the market. PredictIt don't charge much in terms of fees or commission. Great user experience and we love their branding.
Head over with this link and we get a small earn ($20). Think of it like us referring you to an amazing website and you buying us two beers to say thanks.
2016-2020 Election Betting Odds
Want to see all of the probability movements since Donald Trump defeated Hilary Clinton? Check out our Election Betting Odds over the last four years. We're showing you every outcome that was 5% or better during that time frame.
If there's too many outputs then 'click-off' the other politicians that you want to hide from the graph:
How Are These US Election Odds Created?
It doesn’t rely on biased opinions or flawed polling. It exclusively relies on The Wisdom Of Crowds. Which means everyone's opinion is given weight.
It’s all aggregated on an international betting exchange called Betfair.
And there will be over US$300 million traded on the 2020 US Presidential Election.
People who bet on these markets use:
- FiveThirtyEight for the latest polls, approval ratings and models
- All news sources, from Fox News, to CNN, to Twitter
- Trafalgar, 270toWin, The Economist, Real Clear Politics, Politico and every other resource you can think of
From Trump lovers, to Trump haters, to the undecided. It's all factored, filtered and given weight by real money.
You will not find a more accurate data source for 2020 US Presidential Election predictions.
Bookmark this page NOW.
There's only one place to put your money where your mouth is for the US Election.
More US Election Odds
We're determined to give you the most accurate prediction data in the world. Simply by reflecting betting data.
Make sure you check out
State by State Polls
With many more exclusive pages to come on the US Election.
And Who Is Bet Refinery?
We’re a team of pro sports bettors who have been collectively making our income off gambling for 20 years.
We know how to identify the smart money and we create our own betting models. Which we’ll be sharing with you for FREE.
Whilst we won’t be creating data model predictions from the 2020 Election, we’ll have all your favorites sports. We’re winning sports bettors and our tips are free. Join our mailing list for exclusive access as soon as our NFL, NBA, tennis, golf and other models are released.
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